BEYOND FORECASTING: ADAPTIVE ECONOMIC PREPAREDNESS IN A GEOPOLITICALLY UNCERTAIN AND AI-DRIVEN WORLD
The global economic system is undergoing a structural transformation characterized by geopolitical tensions, energy price volatility, trade fragmentation, demographic imbalances, and rapid technological disruption driven by artificial intelligence. Traditional economic models, which rely heavily on historical data and linear forecasting, are increasingly inadequate in capturing the complexity and unpredictability of contemporary economic shocks. Events such as supply chain disruptions, oil price surges linked to geopolitical conflicts, and sudden lab our market shifts due to reverse migration have exposed the limitations of prediction-based planning frameworks.
This paper proposes a conceptual shift from forecasting-centric economic management to an adaptive preparedness paradigm. It introduces the Adaptive Economic Preparedness Model (AEPM), a multi-dimensional framework designed to enhance resilience at both organizational and national levels. The model is structured around five core pillars: energy resilience, supply chain flexibility, human capital adaptability, financial sustainability, and AI-enabled decision systems. Together, these pillars provide a comprehensive approach to managing uncertainty, enabling dynamic responses to structural disruptions.
Drawing upon global datasets on energy dependency, economic concentration, debt levels, demographic trends, digital infrastructure, and artificial intelligence adoption, the study highlights how interconnected systemic risks can amplify economic instability. It further demonstrates that economies and organizations that prioritize adaptability, workforce transformation, and real-time decision-making capabilities are better positioned to sustain growth under volatile conditions.
Neelayapalem, R. K. (2026). Beyond Forecasting: Adaptive Economic Preparedness in a Geopolitically Uncertain and AI-Driven World. International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, 02(03). https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i3.210
Neelayapalem, Ravi. "Beyond Forecasting: Adaptive Economic Preparedness in a Geopolitically Uncertain and AI-Driven World." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, vol. 02, no. 03, 2026, pp. . doi:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i3.210.
Neelayapalem, Ravi. "Beyond Forecasting: Adaptive Economic Preparedness in a Geopolitically Uncertain and AI-Driven World." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology 02, no. 03 (2026). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i3.210.