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International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology

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ISSN: 3108-1762 (Online)
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AN INTELLIGENT PREDICTIVE FRAMEWORK FOR FLOOD AND FIRE RISK ASSESSMENT AND DISASTER DECISION SUPPORT

AUTHORS:
AASHA J
CHITHARTHANI K
Mentor
Affiliation
INDEPENDENT RESEARCHER
CC BY 4.0 License:
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Abstract
The AI-driven multi-hazard disaster management system developed in this project effectively bridges the gap between predictive intelligence and ground-level emergency logistics. By integrating live meteorological data from the OpenWeather API with robust machine learning algorithms—specifically the serialized Random Forest classifier—the system accurately forecasts urban flood and forest fire probabilities in real-time. Furthermore, by moving beyond traditional static graph algorithms and integrating the dynamic Google Maps API, the evacuation routing module ensures that citizens are provided with safe, traffic-aware navigation to nearby shelters while actively avoiding predicted hazard zones. The inclusion of a deterministic, rule-based Resource Allocation Engine and a secure, 3-tier Role-Based Access Control (RBAC) architecture streamlines communication and supply chain coordination among Citizens, NGOs, and Government Officials. Overall, this data-driven ecosystem minimizes response latency, optimizes relief distribution, and establishes a robust, highly scalable technological framework for modern crisis management.
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J, A. & K, C. (2026). An Intelligent Predictive Framework for Flood and Fire Risk Assessment and Disaster Decision Support. International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, 02(9), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i9.008

J, AASHA, and CHITHARTHANI K. "An Intelligent Predictive Framework for Flood and Fire Risk Assessment and Disaster Decision Support." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, vol. 02, no. 9, 2026, pp. 1-9. doi:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i9.008.

J, AASHA, and CHITHARTHANI K. "An Intelligent Predictive Framework for Flood and Fire Risk Assessment and Disaster Decision Support." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology 02, no. 9 (2026): 1-9. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i9.008.

References

  • Jain, , Agarwal, S., & Gupta, K. (2022). Flood Hazard Mapping using Machine Learning. IEEE International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications, 101–107.

  • Hernandez, , & Silva, P. (2021). Deep Learning for Forest Fire Detection from Satellite Images. Remote Sensing of Environment, Elsevier, 254, 112–123.

  • Patel, , & Deshmukh, K. (2020). A GIS-based Decision Support System for Disaster Management. Natural Hazards Journal, Springer, 104(2), 215–230.

  • Wang, , & Zhou, H. (2021). Multi-Hazard Early Warning System using IoT and Cloud Computing. IEEE Sensors Journal, 21(14), 15678–15689.

  • Roy, , & Banerjee, T. (2019). Optimizing Disaster Relief Resource Allocation using Linear Programming. Computers & Industrial Engineering, Elsevier, 130, 54–65.

  • Zhang, , & Li, Q. (2020). Forest Fire Spread Simulation using Cellular Automata. ACM Transactions on Environmental Modelling, 25(3), 1–18.

  • Sharma, , & Singh, V. (2022). AI for Climate Risk Prediction: A Survey. IEEE Access, 10, 45678–45692.

  • Chen, , & Li, F. (2021). Hybrid CNN-RNN Model for Flood Forecasting. Expert Systems with Applications, Elsevier, 177, 114986.

  • Kim, , & Park, J. (2019). Spatial Decision Support for Emergency Evacuation Routes. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 36, 101092.

  • Mehta, , & Kumar, R. (2023). Multi-Hazard Disaster Management using AI and Big Data. AI and Society Journal, Springer, 38(1), 145–162.

  • Ahmed, , & Rao, P. (2022). Integration of GIS and Machine Learning for Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment. Environmental Modelling & Software, Elsevier, 150, 105326.

  • Thomas, , & Verma, R. (2021). Intelligent Evacuation Route Optimization using Dijkstra and A* Algorithms. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 22(9), 5772–5784.

  • Liu, , & Chen, Y. (2020). AI-Based Flood Forecasting and Real-Time Warning System. Natural Hazards Review, ASCE, 21(4), 04020038.

Ethics and Compliance
✓ All ethical standards met
This article has undergone plagiarism screening and double-blind peer review. Editorial policies have been followed. Authors retain copyright under CC BY-NC 4.0 license. The research complies with ethical standards and institutional guidelines.
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