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International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology

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MACHINE LEARNING APPROACH FOR PREDICTING ROAD ACCIDENT IMPACT LEVELS USING PYTHON

AUTHORS:
Kishor Kumar
Jyotish Hembrom
Suraj Kumar
Ranvir Kumar
Mentor
Affiliation
Department of Computer Science/ Adwaita Mission Institute of Technology / Aryabhatta Knowledge University, Patna
CC BY 4.0 License:
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Abstract

Road traffic accidents present a premier global public safety and economic crisis, responsible for millions of annual fatalities and severe infrastructure disruptions [1]. Conventional safety interventions heavily rely on reactive, post-incident reporting rather than proactive, predictive systems. This paper introduces an integrated machine learning framework engineered to forecast road accident impact levels and delineate high-risk geographic clusters, colloquially termed "black spots." Leveraging a highly detailed, pre-processed manual record dataset from India (2017–2022) featuring 32 attributes across 12,316 distinct records alongside regional data arrays [6], we evaluate the predictive efficacy of four major supervised classification algorithms: Logistic Regression, Decision Trees, Naïve Bayes, and Random Forest Classifiers. Distinct from clinical injury models, the severity metric optimized wherein primarily measures localized operational degradation and impact on regional traffic flow stability [9]. Empirical results demonstrate that the Random Forest Classifier achieves superior performance, outperforming competitive architectures in terms of global classification accuracy ($92.0\%$), robustness to feature collinearity, and multi-class F1-scores [7]. Furthermore, a spatial clustering protocol is applied to isolate accident black spots [5]. The outputs of this framework provide a foundational system capable of translating multi-modal data streams into real-time hazard warnings for intelligent transportation networks and target policy interventions for urban planners.

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Kumar, K., Hembrom, J., Kumar, S. & Kumar, R. (2026). Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Road Accident Impact Levels using Python. International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, 02(05). https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i5.390

Kumar, Kishor, et al.. "Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Road Accident Impact Levels using Python." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, vol. 02, no. 05, 2026, pp. . doi:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i5.390.

Kumar, Kishor,Jyotish Hembrom,Suraj Kumar, and Ranvir Kumar. "Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Road Accident Impact Levels using Python." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology 02, no. 05 (2026). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i5.390.

References
1.Han, J., Kamber, M., & Jian, P. (2011). Data Mining: Concepts and Techniques (3rd ed.). Morgan Kaufmann Publishers.

2.Goodfellow, I., Bengio, Y., & Courville, A. (2016). Deep Learning. MIT Press.

3.Karamanlis, I., Kokkalis, A., Profillidis, V., Botzoris, G., Kiourt, C., Sevetlidis, V., & Pavlidis, G. (2023). Deep learning based black spot identification on Greek road networks. Data, 8(6), 110. https://doi.org/10.3390/data8060110

4.Mitchell, T. M. (1997). Machine Learning. McGraw-Hill Education.

5.Sarkar, A. (2024). Accident black spot identification based on classical and computational intelligence methods. AIP Conference Proceedings, 3181(1), 030004. https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0214707

6.Kaggle Dataset Repository. (2022). Road Accident Severity in India (2017-2022). Data Source: S3Programmer.

7.Géron, A. (2019). Hands-On Machine Learning with Scikit-Learn, Keras, and TensorFlow (2nd ed.). O'Reilly Media.

8.Raschka, S., & Mirjalili, V. (2019). Python Machine Learning (3rd ed.). Packt Publishing.

9.Liu, H., & Shetty, R. R. (2021). Analytical Models for Traffic Congestion and Accident Analysis. Mineta Transportation Institute. https://doi.org/10.31979/mti.2021.2102

10.Alobidan, Y. A. (2026). Feature selection for accident severity modeling: A WCFR-based analysis on the U.S. Accidents dataset. MDPI Electronics, 15(6), 1308. https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics15061308
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✓ All ethical standards met
This article has undergone plagiarism screening and double-blind peer review. Editorial policies have been followed. Authors retain copyright under CC BY-NC 4.0 license. The research complies with ethical standards and institutional guidelines.
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