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International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology

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ENTERPRISE SUPPLY CHAIN DECISION INTELLIGENCE (ESDI): A UNIFIED FRAMEWORK FOR STATISTICAL INTELLIGENCE, AI, AI AGENTS, PROCUREMENT, INVENTORY AND ENTERPRISE DECISION-MAKING

AUTHORS:
Ravi Kumar Neelayapalem
Mentor
Affiliation
Independent Researcher and Author
CC BY 4.0 License:
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Abstract
Enterprise planning has progressed from experience-based judgement and spreadsheet calculations to enterprise resource planning, advanced planning systems, statistical forecasting, machine learning, artificial intelligence, digital visibility and emerging AI-agent architectures. Yet organizations across industries continue to experience stock-outs, excess inventory, revenue leakage, procurement delays, working-capital pressure, planner overrides and fragmented decisions. This persistent paradox suggests that forecasting accuracy, although important, is not by itself an adequate measure of enterprise planning performance.

This conceptual article proposes Enterprise Supply Chain Decision Intelligence (ESDI) as a management discipline that integrates Statistical Intelligence, forecasting science, machine learning, artificial intelligence, AI Agents, inventory science, procurement, warehousing, finance, governance, human expertise and continuous organizational learning. The framework does not seek to replace established forecasting methods. Instead, it proposes that demand behaviour should be understood before a forecasting method is selected; forecasts should be evaluated in the context of business decisions; and AI should translate intelligence into explainable, constraint-aware and measurable enterprise action.

The article introduces several proposed constructs: the Statistical Intelligence Layer, the Enterprise Forecast Selection Engine (EFSE), the Decision Cascade Framework, the Enterprise Demand Genome (EDG), the AI Agent Governance Framework and an Enterprise Decision Performance perspective. The EDG is proposed as a dynamic behavioural decision profile that extends static enterprise master data by capturing demand behaviour, lifecycle, variability, seasonality, promotion sensitivity, supply characteristics, margin, inventory policy, forecast confidence, AI confidence and learning history.

The article is intentionally industry neutral. Retail, manufacturing, healthcare, pharmaceuticals, automotive, electronics, consumer goods and distribution are treated as application contexts rather than as the basis of the theory. The contribution is conceptual and requires empirical validation. The central proposition is that organizations increasingly compete not merely through operational efficiency or forecast accuracy, but through the quality, speed, explainability, accountability and continuous improvement of enterprise decisions.

 
Keywords
Enterprise Supply Chain Decision Intelligence; ESDI; Statistical Intelligence; Demand Forecasting; Forecast Selection; Enterprise Demand Genome; Artificial Intelligence; AI Agents; Procurement Intelligence; Inventory Intelligence; Explainable AI; Decision Performance; Supply Chain Governance; Autonomous Supply Chains.
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Neelayapalem, R. K. (2026). Enterprise Supply Chain Decision Intelligence (ESDI): A Unified Framework for Statistical Intelligence, AI, AI Agents, Procurement, Inventory and Enterprise Decision-Making. International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, 02(8), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i8.040

Neelayapalem, Ravi. "Enterprise Supply Chain Decision Intelligence (ESDI): A Unified Framework for Statistical Intelligence, AI, AI Agents, Procurement, Inventory and Enterprise Decision-Making." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, vol. 02, no. 8, 2026, pp. 1-9. doi:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i8.040.

Neelayapalem, Ravi. "Enterprise Supply Chain Decision Intelligence (ESDI): A Unified Framework for Statistical Intelligence, AI, AI Agents, Procurement, Inventory and Enterprise Decision-Making." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology 02, no. 8 (2026): 1-9. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i8.040.

References
[1]        Hyndman, R. J., & Athanasopoulos, G. (2021). Forecasting: Principles and Practice (3rd ed.). OTexts. The online edition is maintained and updated at https://otexts.com/fpp3/. (Hyndman & Athanasopoulos, 2021)

[2]        Taylor, S. J., & Letham, B. (2018). Forecasting at Scale. The American Statistician, 72(1), 37–45. https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2017.1380080. (Taylor & Letham, 2018)

[3]        Croston, J. D. (1972). Forecasting and Stock Control for Intermittent Demands. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 23(3), 289–303. https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.1972.50. (Croston, 1972)

[4]        Chen, T., & Guestrin, C. (2016). XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System. Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, 785–794. https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939785. (Chen & Guestrin, 2016)

[5]        Fildes, R., Ma, S., & Kolassa, S. (2019). Retail forecasting: Research and practice. International Journal of Forecasting, 35(1), 1–9.

[6]        Makridakis, S., Spiliotis, E., & Assimakopoulos, V. (2018). Statistical and Machine Learning forecasting methods: Concerns and ways forward. PLOS ONE, 13(3), e0194889.

[7]        Makridakis, S., Spiliotis, E., & Assimakopoulos, V. (2020). The M4 Competition: 100,000 time series and 61 forecasting methods. International Journal of Forecasting, 36(1), 54–74.
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This article has undergone plagiarism screening and double-blind peer review. Editorial policies have been followed. Authors retain copyright under CC BY-NC 4.0 license. The research complies with ethical standards and institutional guidelines.
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