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A BIBLIOMETRIC REVIEW OF EQUITY STOCK FORECASTING: AN OR PERSPECTIVE

AUTHORS:
Dr Richa Kalpesh Saxena
Aryan Neelangal
Jannat Kapoor
Jian Gandhi
Khushi Jasoliya
Keyaan Chitalia
Mentor
Affiliation
B.Sc. Finance, NMIMS, Anil Surendra Modi School of Commerce, Mumbai Campus, India
CC BY 4.0 License:
This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Abstract
The study presents a bibliometric analysis of the literature concerning financial forecasting in the stock market, based on 589 papers published between 2010 and 2026. The articles were collected from Scopus and Google Scholar using Publish or Perish and then sorted in Mendeley. At this point, duplicates were eliminated, any works published prior to 2010 were discarded, and those dealing with commodities instead of equities were excluded. The final dataset was analysed using the bibliometrix package in RStudio as well as with VOSviewer, which produced an annual production series, a thematic map of author keywords, and networks showing keyword co-occurrences and densities.

Research output increased steadily during this period and reached a peak of 69 papers in 2020. Over half of all the publications were produced between 2019 and 2024. The thematic map indicates that stock market prediction, machine learning, deep learning, LSTM and sentiment analysis are the main themes uniting the field. Volatility forecasting is the only fully developed motor theme. The co-occurrence network breaks down into seven clusters, machine learning and deep learning occupying the central position.

Models like ARIMA, GARCH and SVM are now primarily used as benchmarks and cryptocurrency being new has only limited application till now. Although the methods have developed rapidly there are still some deficiencies. Price, news and fundamental data are almost never systematically combined, and the results concerning volatility are often different. Models that perform well in terms of accuracy do not generally stay profitable when trading costs are taken into account. Moreover, there is no standard set of benchmarks in the field for fairly comparing the results. In order to remedy these drawbacks, the paper proposes an Input–Process–Output research programme. This programme aims at making forecasting research more integrated, risk-aware and reproducible, rather than just at developing new algorithms.

 
Keywords
Financial Forecasting Equity Stock Forecasting Operations Research Literature Review Bibliometric Analysis Stock Return Prediction
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Saxena, D. R. K., Neelangal, A., Kapoor, J., Gandhi, J., Jasoliya, K. & Chitalia, K. (2026). A Bibliometric Review of Equity Stock Forecasting: An or Perspective. International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, 02(10), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i10.067

Saxena, Dr, et al.. "A Bibliometric Review of Equity Stock Forecasting: An or Perspective." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology, vol. 02, no. 10, 2026, pp. 1-9. doi:https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i10.067.

Saxena, Dr,Aryan Neelangal,Jannat Kapoor,Jian Gandhi,Khushi Jasoliya, and Keyaan Chitalia. "A Bibliometric Review of Equity Stock Forecasting: An or Perspective." International Journal of Science, Strategic Management and Technology 02, no. 10 (2026): 1-9. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.55041/ijsmt.v2i10.067.

References
Aria, M., & Cuccurullo, C. (2017). bibliometrix: An R-tool for comprehensive science mapping analysis. Journal of Informetrics, 11(4), 959–975.

Baek, S., Mohanty, S. K., & Glambosky, M. (2020). COVID-19 and stock market volatility: An industry level analysis. Finance Research Letters, 37, 101748.

Bailey, D. H., Borwein, J. M., López de Prado, M., & Zhu, Q. J. (2014). Pseudo-mathematics and financial charlatanism: The effects of backtest overfitting on out-of-sample performance. Notices of the American Mathematical Society, 61(5), 458–471.

Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., Davis, S. J., Kost, K., Sammon, M., & Viratyosin, T. (2020). The unprecedented stock market reaction to COVID-19. The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 10(4), 742–758.

Berradi, Z., Lazaar, M., Mahboub, O., et al. (2020). A comprehensive review of artificial intelligence techniques in financial market. 2020 6th IEEE Congress on Information Science and Technology.

Cobo, M. J., López-Herrera, A. G., Herrera-Viedma, E., & Herrera, F. (2011). An approach for detecting, quantifying, and visualizing the evolution of a research field: A practical application to the Fuzzy Sets Theory field. Journal of Informetrics, 5(1), 146–166.

Donthu, N., Kumar, S., Mukherjee, D., Pandey, N., & Lim, W. M. (2021). How to Conduct a Bibliometric Analysis: An Overview and Guidelines. Journal of Business Research, 133, 285-296.

Elsevier. (n.d.). Scopus [Database].

Fataliyev, K., Chivukula, A., Prasad, M., & Liu, W. (2021). Stock market analysis with text data: A review. arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.12985. https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.12985

Fischer, T., & Krauss, C. (2018). Deep learning with long short-term memory networks for financial market predictions. European Journal of Operational Research, 270(2), 654–669.

Gao, Y., Wang, R., & Zhou, E. (2021). Stock Prediction Based on Optimized LSTM and GRU Models. Scientific Programming, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/4055281
Ethics and Compliance
✓ All ethical standards met
This article has undergone plagiarism screening and double-blind peer review. Editorial policies have been followed. Authors retain copyright under CC BY-NC 4.0 license. The research complies with ethical standards and institutional guidelines.
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